The Next 20 YearsWhat might the last 20 years say about possible asset returns for the next 20 years. Here are returns for various assets from two...
S&P 500 Return ProbabilityWhat does the ProFolio Return Probability Calculator tell us about possible returns for the S&P 500? Since future inflation may or may...
Needle In A HaystackAccording to Hendrik Bessembinder, a finance professor at Arizona State University, in his paper, "Do Stocks Outperform Treasury Bills?",...
Probability Of EventsSuppose you live in a 100 year flood plain. Your chances of experiencing a flood are 1% every year. If you live in the house for 30...